Wednesday 4 August 2010

Best Football Bets

In this post I am going to be going through some of the better markets to make profits from when talking about betting on football. Then I am going to highlight some markets that you should avoid if you are looking to make consistent returns from your betting; these markets are perfect for a cheeky bet at the weekend but should be avoided when making serious bets.

Best Football Bets

First I am going to go through some of the bets that our best for professional gamblers to make consistent profits with. These are the markets that I most often make bets on and are therefore the bets that my subscribers receive as part of our free tips service. If you are interested in getting free tips sent to you before matches then pop your email in the box below:Otherwise let's begin:

Match Odds

Quite an obvious one this. This is simply the Win/Loss/Draw market where you back a particular team to win the match, or back the draw if you are inclined. When you know a lot about the teams that are involved in a match you can really get high % strike rates. A lot of people negate the Draw part of this bet by using Betfair to lay a particular team so that they still win in the case of a draw; the odds are worse but the higher strike rate should offset this.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

This is one of my personal favourites. The beauty of this bet is that it does not require you to be cheering for a particular team. I prefer to go Over but I suspect that a lot of people have this preference so the odds are unnaturally shifted as a result. To win in this market you need to know both how effective the Strikeforce and Defence of each team is but also how past form can dictate total goals. For example if Arsenal have just smashed through a relegation zone team 5-0 and their next game is against another relegation zone team does the fact they scored 5 in the last game make them more or less likely to do the same? Some teams can regularly hit 4+ goals a game while other teams will see a goal drought after a huge victory. The same for losing sides; just because a team has been on the end of a hammering recently does not mean their next game will be the same, chances are they will tighten up and the next game will be low scoring. Food for thought.

Team -1.5 Goals

Not one of my personal favourites but a bet I do from time to time. The basic premise of this bet is that you are betting that a team will beat another team by a margin of 2 goals or more. The reason this bet is popular for professional gamblers is that a lot of the time the odds difference between a team winning a game and a team winning with a -1.5 handicap do not reflect reality, meaning the odds are higher than what they should be considering what the odds of them just winning the match are. . .

Worst Football Bets

So now I am going to go through a couple of the worst bets you can make on football. I consider these the worst as they are the hardest ways to consistently make money, this is not to say that you cannot make money on these niches it is just to say that they are pretty difficult in terms of long term money making.

First/Last Goalscorer

This is one of the most popular market for recreational punters ie. people who just have a fun bet at the weekend on their favourite teams. The major problem with this market is the huge luck factor that is involved with selecting the first goalscorer. With good knowledge of the teams and the players you can easily choose who is the most likely to score in any given game but then there is a big roulette spin about whether or not he will be the first (or last) goalscorer in the game, could easily be one of his team mates or an opposing player! The best bet to do when you are sure a player will score is to do his anytime odds and make sure that the odds reflect what you believe the odds to be.

Correct Score

Similar to the above the correct score market is simply too much of a lucky bet to be worth much if you are looking to consistently profit. Granted the odds you receive on bets like these are pretty good but you really need to be hitting a decent strike rate in order to profit. The reason it is hard to predict the correct score is quite obvious, as I said before it's quite easy to get a nice return when betting on match odds and the over/under 2.5 market but when you try to combine these markets and make them even more specific by saying the exact number of goals for each time it becomes more a game of luck than anything else. Conclusion So to conclude good markets that you should be looking out for are things you can keep track of yourself and where the outcome is majority based on past statistics and form rather than luck.

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